Market Timing And Model Uncertainty: An Exploratory Study For The Swiss Stock Market
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Stock Market Uncertainty and the Analysis of Monetary Policy shock
Policy makers impose policies to improve economy circumstance in order to achieve economic goals. However, the consequence of these policies along with the intended goals will also influence expectations, fluctuations, etc., and cause changes in levels of uncertainty. The important role of the stock market in the economy, makes it important to examine its uncertainty and its interaction with mo...
متن کاملa study on insurer solvency by panel data model: the case of iranian insurance market
the aim of this thesis is an approach for assessing insurer’s solvency for iranian insurance companies. we use of economic data with both time series and cross-sectional variation, thus by using the panel data model will survey the insurer solvency.
A Nonlinear Autoregressive Model with Exogenous Variables Neural Network for Stock Market Timing: The Candlestick Technical Analysis
In this paper, the nonlinear autoregressive model with exogenous variables as a new neural network is used for timing of the stock markets on the basis of the technical analysis of Japanese Candlestick. In this model, the “nonlinear autoregressive model with exogenous variables” is an analyzer. For a more reliable comparison, here (like the literature) two approaches of Raw-based and Signal-ba...
متن کاملStock Market Seasonality: A Study of the Indian Stock Market
1.0 Introduction Seasonal variations in production and sales are a well known fact in business. Seasonality refers to regular and repetitive fluctuation in a time series which occurs periodically over a span of less than a year. The main cause of seasonal variations in time series data is the change in climate. For example, sales of woolen clothes generally increase in winter season. Besides th...
متن کاملMeasuring Uncertainty in the Stock Market
We propose a real-time index of time-varying uncertainty in the stock market. The index is constructed after removing the common variations of the series, taking into account recent advances in the literature, emphasizing the difference between risk (expected variation) and uncertainty (unexpected variation). To this end, we use data from 1926 to 2014 of 25 portfolios sorted by size and book-to...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Financial Markets and Portfolio Management
سال: 2005
ISSN: 1934-4554,2373-8529
DOI: 10.1007/s11408-005-4695-z